Investigating · asking since 21 Jul 2026
What happens to expertise when everyone has the same models?
If the median expert is available to everyone for free, where does the edge go?
where I've got to
History suggests that when a layer of expertise gets cheap, value moves up a level to deciding what to do with it. The worry is what happens to the apprenticeship that used to produce the people who could decide.
The problem-selection premium
Richard Hamming used to ask scientists at Bell Labs what the most important problems in their field were, and then why they weren't working on them. People didn't like the question. It was a…
building was the hard part. was.
Note, draft · 27 Sept 2026
Selection is the new bottleneck
Photographers used to shoot a roll of 36 frames, print them all on one contact sheet, and circle a single one in grease pencil. The shooting was hard, but the circle was the craft. Plenty of…
36 frames, one circle
Note, draft · 27 Sept 2026
The non-technical technical advantage
Most value in technology gets lost in translation. An engineer knows what a capability can do. A founder, investor or operator knows what a market will pay for. Very few people can walk the …
not the deepest engineer in the room. the widest.
Note, draft · 27 Sept 2026
- 1455Gutenberg’s Bible
- +296 yrs1751The Encyclopédie, volume I
- +88 yrs1839The daguerreotype is announced
- +133 yrs1972The HP-35 pocket calculator
- +26 yrs1998Google is founded
- +24 yrs2022ChatGPT is released
the gaps keep getting shorter…
Note, ongoing · 2 Sept 2026
never saw one. drew it anyway.
Note · 11 Aug 2026